The man whom the Democrats claim tried to destroy American “democracy” during the mostly peaceful protests at the U.S. Capitol last year is apparently in a position to destroy President Joe Biden’s chance for a second term in the White House.
Former President Trump has defeated and in some cases crushed Joe Biden in recent presidential preference polls. And on top of that, Biden’s unfavorable rating has reached nearly 60 percent.
If and whether Trump runs again and whether he will defeat Biden or the next Democrat nominee is unimportant for now. Important thing is, the polling data show that a Biden candidacy could be a loser for the Democrats.
POTUS 45 vs. POTUS 46
The Real Clear Politics polling data tell the story.
Biden lost five of the last six polls in the RCP average, and nine of the last 11. He tied Trump once.
And Trump’s margin of victory in many was no mere couple of points.
An Insider Advantage poll of 750 voters surveyed December 17-19 has Trump ahead by eight points, 49-41.
A poll of 1,200 registered voters from Rasmussen in late November gives Trump a 13-point margin, 45-32. A Rasmussen survey of 1,000 registered voters in late September was similar, with Trump defeating Biden 51-41.
Biden defeated Trump by 1, 46-45, in a poll of 1,500 registered voters from the Wall Street Journal in mid-November.
The RCP average has Trump ahead of the president 46-41.2, a 4.8-point margin.
Biden Unfavorable
Those numbers, though, are just one problem for the Sleepy One and his fringe coalition of angry minorities, witchy feminists, militant homosexuals, and crossing-dressing “transgenders.”
The RCP average on Biden’s performance shows that 53.9 percent of voters disapprove of his job performance, versus 42.3 who like it.
In eight recent polls, Biden’s unfavorable rating was 50 percent or better seven times.
His most shocking number came from a Rasmussen survey of 1,500 voters just last week: 58 percent disapproved of his performance. Just 40 percent approved.
A Trafalgar poll of 1,073 voters before Christmas revealed the same dissatisfaction. They gave Biden a negative rating of 56 percent.
Biden’s disapproval rating started climbing on January 28 last year, when 55 percent of those polled liked his performance, and 36 percent disapproved. His approval rating has steadily declined since.
Broken down, Biden’s worst number is “direction of the country.” A whopping 62 percent think it’s headed in the wrong direction, the RCP average shows, versus 30.1 percent who think things are just fine.
That disapproval number peaked at 67 percent in a Rasmussen survey of 1,000 voters December 19-22. A Monmouth poll of 753 voters in early December gave Biden a 66-percent negative rating.
The last three polls have negative ratings of 64 and 63 percent.
On immigration, Biden’s numbers are equally disastrous: 60 percent of those polled disapprove of his job performance, the RCP average shows, while just 35.3 percent approve.
But as with the “direction-of-the-country” surveys, 60 percent isn’t close to his worst number. Polls have consistently shown higher numbers.
A USA Today/Suffolk poll of 1,000 voters November 3-5 reported that 67 percent of those surveyed disapprove of his immigration policies, which are designed to flood the country with illegal aliens and future Democrat voters. His approval rating was a mere 18 percent.
Biden’s foreign-policy numbers aren’t as bad, but they don’t suggest Americans support him, or have confidence in his ability to handle the nation’s affairs abroad.
Congressional Races
RCP’s general congressional election data have the GOP up 1.1 points, 42.4-41.3. Three polls in that average had Republicans with a solid lead. The last few have the Democrats ahead.
Leftists are worried.
“If the 2022 elections were held anytime soon, Democrats would face what President George W. Bush called ‘a thumpin’ after his party suffered a midterm rout 16 years ago,” wrote E.J. Dionne of the Washington Post.
Dionne drilled into Biden’s poll numbers to find decay among key supporters:
The disenchantment of their core supporters is the biggest problem Democrats have to deal with. Among 18- to 29-year-olds — who gave Biden a 24-point advantage over Donald Trump in 2020 — only 22 percent strongly approved of his performance in the Morning Consult survey. And while 47 percent of Democrats strongly approved of Biden’s performance, 74 percent of Republicans strongly disapproved.
A comparable enthusiasm gap during Trump’s presidency led to Republican disaster in 2018. Democrats face this danger now.
Compounding the Democrats’ difficulties are signs that a potentially decisive bloc of middle-of-the-road voters who backed Biden over Trump is drifting away. A careful analysis of the 2021 Virginia governor’s race found that Republican Glenn Youngkin prevailed in a state Biden carried by 10 points thanks to a turnout differential in the GOP’s favor — and because 9 percent of Biden voters who did cast ballots supported Youngkin.
Dionne wants the Democrats to focus on the threat that Trump poses to “democracy.”
“They must make the election about something that matters,” he wrote. “If democracy isn’t worth fighting for, what is?”
H/T: Powerline
