When most were counting on a Hillary Clinton presidency, he called President Trump’s 2016 victory. Now Robert Cahaly is back with a prediction for 2020:
Trump will win reelection.
But he has a warning, too: Pennsylvania is so rife with vote fraud that it’s the state Trump is most likely to “win,” but not get electoral votes from.
Cahaly, CEO of the Trafalgar Group, made his prediction on Sunday in a long interview on National Review’s “The Editors” podcast. He “predicts Trump will win the battleground states of Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, and Texas,” reports PJ Media. “He said things are tighter in Wisconsin and Arizona, though Cahaly says Trump has the lead and will ‘probably win’ in Arizona.”
Bucking other pollsters — who often bias their surveys by over-sampling Democrats — Cahaly finds that Trump is leading or gaining ground in some crucial battleground states. As he has tweeted:
Regarding Michigan, “where senatorial candidate John James has a slight lead,” writes PJ Media, “Cahaly says that a combination of James’s strength, hatred for Governor Whitmer’s COVID response and her job-killing Green New Deal, and the Trump economy will propel the president to a win there.”
Calahy holds that Trump will prevail with an electoral vote count in the upper 270s to the 280s (270 are needed to win). But this is where his warning about Pennsylvania — which has 20 electoral votes, enough to turn a close election — is relevant.
“I believe Pennsylvania to be the number one state that Trump could win and have stolen from him through voter fraud,” WND.com relates him as stating. “Pennsylvania has had a lot of voter fraud over the years and giving people unsolicited absentee ballots is literally like giving voter fraud operations steroids. I think it’s the state he’s most likely to win and not get the votes from.’”
This warning should be taken seriously. Pennsylvania Democrats have already been caught throwing out Republican mail-in ballots, an ex-Philadelphia election official pled guilty earlier this year to stuffing ballot boxes for Democrats in return for bribes, and lawfully present GOP poll watchers have in the past been forcibly ejected from that city’s polling places.
Philadelphia was also where New Black Panther Party members, wielding batons and wearing black, fascist-style uniforms, intimidated voters outside a polling station in 2008.
Moreover, consider that in Pennsylvania, “millions of mail-in ballots have been sent to people who never requested them,” reported The New American last month.
“It is apparent that Democrats have pulled out all stops to flood the election with mail-in ballots so that they can cull a large enough number of Trump votes to steer the election results in their favor,” we continued. “Extrapolate those numbers to take in the entire United States, and you have a recipe for a stolen election.”
The good news for the GOP is that, says Cahaly, their voters are under-polling by a good margin. He points out that the conservative/liberal ratio of people reluctant to participate in polls is 5:1. In fact, reflecting a trend that has worsened since 2016, Cahaly states that this ratio was “only” 4:1 just a few weeks ago.
Liberals are anxious to tell everyone how much they hate Trump, he explains. (This is obvious. Just consider how “in your face” leftists are about expressing their passions.) In contrast, conservatives worry that pollsters may divulge their identities and fear career and reputational destruction.
“Cahaly also said that the built-in ‘social desirability bias’ — telling pollsters the politically correct answer — is at work as usual but he believes it may be responsible for as many as a five- to eight-point difference in the actual polling numbers,” PJ Media also informs. Other pollsters don’t compensate for this effect when making their calculations, Cahaly states.
In addition, another interesting analysis comes from social commentator Dr. Steve Turley. He points out (video below) that, contrary to expectations, Democrats do not have the early-voting-ballot leg-up they’d expected; in fact, in key swing state Michigan, the GOP has a 40-percent to 38-percent early-voting ballot advantage.
Assuming this is accurate, it doesn’t bode well for Democrats. As Turley explains, the Democrats’ strategy was to develop a large lead in early voting to compensate for greater GOP Election Day turnout. They then figured, Turley states, they’d be able to break any ties and deliver themselves victory with the “counting” of late votes.
Theories aside, what’s certain is that this is an unprecedented election. Big Tech manipulation and mainstream media bias are more extreme than ever before in American history, and vote fraud may be, too. Working against this is that a “hidden vote” — that secret Trump support — may be the largest one in history.
Which factor will overwhelm the other? Only time will tell. Yet, whatever the outcome, there may also be something else historic:
We may see post-election wailing and gnashing of teeth like never before.
