Liz Cheney effectively ended her political career in Wyoming Thursday evening. As co-chair of the January 6 committee (which Democrat lawyer Alan Dershowitz dismissed as a “kangaroo court”), she called the January 6, 2021 protest and riot an “invasion” of the Capitol aided and abetted by President Donald Trump. She said Trump “claim[ed] that the election was stolen,” which justified the “invasion.”
Two recent polls have revealed the growing support among Wyoming Republican voters — who make up three-quarters of the electorate in the Cowboy State — for Cheney’s opponent in the August 16 Republican primary, Harriet Hageman. The latest, conducted by Tony Fabrizio with results released on Monday, reported:
Over the past six months, Harriet Hageman has become known to nearly all Wyoming [Republican Primary Voters], and as she has done so, her net favorable image has increased from +21 to +29.
A 58% majority now view her favorably while just 29% have an unfavorable opinion.
The incumbent, four-term representative Cheney, on the other hand, has lost what little ground she previously occupied among those voters:
Conversely, the already unpopular Congresswoman Liz Cheney has become even more disliked, with her net favorable falling from -40 to -47.
A whopping 73% of GOP primary voters have an unfavorable view of Cheney, including 66% who view her very unfavorably.
Fabrizio allayed any fears that Cheney could somehow pull out a victory in the primary by appealing to the few Democrats and Independents in the state to change their party affiliations and register as Republicans the day of the election:
Hageman has successfully captured the bulk of these anti-Cheney voters by winning over undecideds and some Bouchard [third candidate running] voters, leaving little doubt as to whom will win this race….
Harriet Hageman is now the overwhelming favorite to remove Liz Cheney from Congress.
The disaster awaiting Cheney in August could be even worse. Fabrizio’s survey occurred before Cheney’s remarks on Thursday night. And, when asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of the job Liz Cheney is doing as Congresswoman?” 70 percent of those polled by Fabrizio disapproved.
A straw poll conducted by the Wyoming State Central Committee in January showed Hageman winning 59 votes and Cheney only six.
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Liz Cheney Launches Reelection Campaign in the Face of Negative Polling